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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Gillingham |
| 49.22% ( | 28.62% ( | 22.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 39.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.72% ( | 65.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.91% ( | 84.09% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% ( | 26.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.7% ( | 62.3% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.04% ( | 45.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.31% ( | 81.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 16.24% ( 2-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 3-2 @ 1.41% ( 4-1 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.68% Total : 49.22% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0-0 @ 12.39% ( 2-2 @ 3.22% ( Other @ 0.39% Total : 28.62% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.62% Total : 22.15% |