League Two Gameweek 26
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Tom Nichols 56' goal
  • Aiden O'Brien 70' goal
  • goal Callum Ainley 62'

Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
Walsall 2 - 0 Gillingham
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Tom Nichols

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
Northampton 1 - 0 Crewe
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Dan Agyei

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result

Gillingham 53.28% (-0.01)
Draw 26.14% (+0.01)
Crewe Alexandra 20.57% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.63%

Goals

Over 2.5 41.1% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 58.9% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 20.61%
Under 3.5 79.39% (+0.01)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 77.75% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.25% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 44.32% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 55.68% (+0.02)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 56.12% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 43.88% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 19.97% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 80.03% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Gillingham 53.27%
Draw 26.14%
Crewe Alexandra 20.57%
Gillingham
1-0 @ 14.67%
2-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.52% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 53.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 9.76% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 26.14%
Crewe Alexandra
0-1 @ 8.04% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.98%
0-2 @ 3.31% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 20.57%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Dan Agyei 19' goal
  • goal Scott Kashket 12'
League One Gameweek 23
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Danny Lloyd 17' goal
  • David Tutonda 65' yellowcard
  • Robbie McKenzie 90'+7' yellowcard
League One Gameweek 18
Nov 20, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Chris Long 11' goal
  • Luke Offord 68' yellowcard
  • Tom Lowery 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Stuart O'Keefe 47'
  • yellowcard Daniel Phillips 61'
League One Gameweek 26
Jan 26, 2021 6.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Jordan Graham 11' goal
  • Olly Lee 38' goal
  • Kyle Dempsey 45' goal
  • Vadaine Oliver 46' yellowcard
  • Olly Lee 62' goal
  • Robbie Cundy 67' yellowcard
  • John Akinde 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Chris Porter 80'
  • yellowcard Travis Johnson 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2020 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Luke Offord 12' yellowcard
  • Perry Ng 76' yellowcard
  • Mikael Mandron 83' yellowcard
  • goal John Akinde 58'
League One
Mar 12, 2016 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dominic Samuel 12' goal
  • Adam El-Abd 38' yellowcard
  • Jon Guthrie 61' goal
  • Josh Wright 92' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Nugent 67'