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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Gillingham
2 - 1
Crewe

Nichols (56'), O'Brien (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ainley (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Crewe
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
53.28% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)26.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 43.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)58.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.61%79.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.68% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.88% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.97% (0.0010000000000012 0)80.03% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 53.27%
    Crewe Alexandra 20.57%
    Draw 26.14%
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 14.67%
2-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 53.27%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 9.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 4.98%
0-2 @ 3.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.03%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 20.57%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Crewe

Gillingham
72.9%
Draw
12.5%
Crewe Alexandra
14.6%
48
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gillingham
1-0
Crewe
Lloyd (17' pen.)
Tutonda (65'), McKenzie (90+7')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Crewe
2-0
Gillingham
Long (11'), Lowery (90+1')
Offord (68')

O'Keefe (47'), Phillips (61')
Jan 26, 2021 6pm
Gillingham
4-1
Crewe
Graham (11' pen.), Lee (38', 62'), Dempsey (45')
Oliver (46'), Cundy (67'), Akinde (90+3')
Porter (80')
Johnson (90+4')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Crewe
0-1
Gillingham

Offord (12'), Ng (76'), Mandron (83')
Akinde (58')