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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 53.28% ( | 26.14% ( | 20.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.1% ( | 58.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.61% | 79.39% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( | 22.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% ( | 55.68% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.12% ( | 43.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.97% ( | 80.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 14.67% 2-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 3-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-1 @ 4.55% ( 4-0 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.77% Total : 53.27% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 9.76% ( 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 1-2 @ 4.98% 0-2 @ 3.31% ( 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 2-3 @ 1.03% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.57% |