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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Gillingham
2 - 1
Crewe

Nichols (56'), O'Brien (70')
MacDonald (11'), Ehmer (90+5')
Harris (12')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ainley (62')
Griffiths (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Crewe
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

Crewe Alexandra's miserable away-day fortunes are showing no signs of coming to an end anytime soon, and facing a Gillingham side with a taste for wins at home is hardly a recipe for success. Harris has implored his players to give him a response to Saturday's defeat, and we expect the Gills to do just that, even if Crewe's backline will be reinforced by the returning McDonald. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
53.28% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 26.14% (0.0030000000000001 0) 20.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 43.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)58.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.61%79.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.68% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.88% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.97% (0.0010000000000012 0)80.03% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 53.27%
    Crewe Alexandra 20.57%
    Draw 26.14%
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 14.67%
2-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 53.27%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 9.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 4.98%
0-2 @ 3.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.03%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 20.57%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Crewe

Gillingham
72.9%
Draw
12.5%
Crewe Alexandra
14.6%
48
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gillingham
1-0
Crewe
Lloyd (17' pen.)
Tutonda (65'), McKenzie (90+7')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Crewe
2-0
Gillingham
Long (11'), Lowery (90+1')
Offord (68')

O'Keefe (47'), Phillips (61')
Jan 26, 2021 6pm
Gillingham
4-1
Crewe
Graham (11' pen.), Lee (38', 62'), Dempsey (45')
Oliver (46'), Cundy (67'), Akinde (90+3')
Porter (80')
Johnson (90+4')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Crewe
0-1
Gillingham

Offord (12'), Ng (76'), Mandron (83')
Akinde (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Mansfield TownMansfield392013679374273
2Stockport CountyStockport382011775403571
3Wrexham392010970482270
4MK Dons40207136354967
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe3918111067551265
6BarrowBarrow381713853401364
7Crawley TownCrawley38185155754359
8Gillingham40178153947-859
9AFC Wimbledon4015131253421158
10Walsall381511125752556
11Newport CountyNewport39167165859-155
12Morecambe39159155968-954
13Harrogate TownHarrogate39159154655-954
14Notts County39156187674251
15Tranmere RoversTranmere40155205957250
16Accrington StanleyAccrington39148175257-550
17Bradford CityBradford391311154653-750
18Doncaster RoversDoncaster38147175162-1149
19Salford City401211176073-1347
20Swindon TownSwindon391111176570-544
21Grimsby Town38815154965-1639
22Colchester UnitedColchester37810194766-1934
23Sutton UnitedSutton40712214571-2633
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3989223865-2733


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