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Championship header 2

League Two

Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Barrow

Crewe
3 - 0
Barrow

Agyei (14' pen., 33' pen.), Long (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Barrow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Doncaster 0-2 Crewe
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Barrow

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 2-1 Gillingham
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawBarrow
29.08% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)27.76% (0.0039999999999978 0)43.15% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 46.75% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.25% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)58.75% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.72% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)79.28% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.02% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)35.98% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.24% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)72.76% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (0.0039999999999978 0)62.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 29.08%
    Barrow 43.15%
    Draw 27.77%
Crewe AlexandraDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.26% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.73% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 29.08%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 9.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 12.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.52% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 8.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.64% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 43.15%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Barrow
3-0
Crewe
Waters (8'), Gordon (43', 60')

Williams (66')