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Championship header 2

League Two
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
MK Dons

Wrexham
3 - 5
MK Dons

Mendy (42'), Davies (82'), Forde (90+6')
Lee (23'), O'Connell (24')
FT(HT: 1-2)
O'Connell (6' og.), Eisa (10'), Leko (51', 64'), Harvie (90+4')
Eisa (11'), Norman (68'), MacGillivray (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last Game: Man Utd 1-3 Wrexham
Wednesday, July 26 at 3.30am in Club Friendlies 1

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 1-5 Coventry
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Wrexham 2-1 MK Dons

 Wrexham are riding the crest of a wave at the moment, and they should be backed by a huge crowd at the Racecourse Ground in their first EFL game since 2009, while MK Dons have not performed well in pre-season. As such, we expect the hosts to kick off their first game of the season with a victory, building momentum ahead of what should be another season where they are battling for promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawMK Dons
69.03% (3.214 3.21) 17.33% (-1.804 -1.8) 13.65% (-1.409 -1.41)
Both teams to score 57.6% (2.937 2.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.69% (5.563 5.56)33.31% (-5.563 -5.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.92% (6.11 6.11)55.08% (-6.11 -6.11)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.26% (2.284 2.28)8.74% (-2.283 -2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.95% (5.29 5.29)30.04% (-5.29 -5.29)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.12% (1.681 1.68)36.88% (-1.68 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33% (1.642 1.64)73.67% (-1.641 -1.64)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 69.03%
    MK Dons 13.65%
    Draw 17.33%
WrexhamDrawMK Dons
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.756 -0.76)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.299 -0.3)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-1.517 -1.52)
3-0 @ 7.78% (0.181 0.18)
3-1 @ 7.76% (0.519 0.52)
4-0 @ 4.74% (0.551 0.55)
4-1 @ 4.73% (0.736 0.74)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.42 0.42)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.457 0.46)
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.463 0.46)
5-1 @ 2.3% (0.544 0.54)
5-2 @ 1.15% (0.311 0.31)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.259 0.26)
6-1 @ 0.94% (0.289 0.29)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 69.03%
1-1 @ 7.84% (-1.096 -1.1)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.071 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-1.027 -1.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.19 0.19)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.33%
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.348 -0.35)
0-1 @ 3.22% (-0.836 -0.84)
0-2 @ 1.6% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 13.65%

How you voted: Wrexham vs MK Dons

Wrexham
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
MK Dons
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2008 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Wrexham
O'Hanlon (75'), Swailes (2'), Wilbraham (10', 90')
Lewington (36'), Navarro (46'), Gueret (59'), Regan (60'), Miles (83')
Roberts (59' pen.)
Roberts (26'), Bolland (33')
Jan 19, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-0
MK Dons
Roberts (71')
Evans (49'), Nicholson (56'), Spender (79')

Wilbraham (64'), Johnson (83')
Mar 17, 2007 3pm
MK Dons
2-1
Wrexham
Andrews (38' pen.), Platt (85')
Dyer (52')
McEvilly (12')
Roche (18'), Garrett (37'), McEvilly (43')
Roche (36')
Oct 14, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
1-2
MK Dons
Roberts (20')
Done (64'), Evans (69'), Jones (88'), Mackin (90')
O'Hanlon (77')
O'Hanlon (22')
Feb 26, 2005 3pm
Wrexham
0-0
MK Dons
Morgan (87')
Lewington (81'), Harding (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539
> League Two Full Table


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