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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 48.73% ( | 25.8% ( | 25.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.5% ( | 53.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.98% ( | 75.02% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% ( | 21.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.73% ( | 55.26% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.9% ( | 36.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.12% ( | 72.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 2-0 @ 9.11% ( 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 3-0 @ 4.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 48.73% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 1.9% Total : 25.46% |