League One

League One | Gameweek 38

Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
1 - 0
Morecambe

Leko (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 0-1 MK Dons
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 57.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Morecambe
57.67%	23.51%	18.83%

Both teams to score 48.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.67%

51.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.84%

73.16%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.43%

17.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.88%

48.12%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.57%

41.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.06%

77.94%

Score Analysis

MK Dons 57.66%

Morecambe 18.83%

Draw 23.5%

MK Dons	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 12.65% 2-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 5.62% 4-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.56% Total : 57.66%	1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.5%	0-1 @ 6.41% 1-2 @ 4.91% 0-2 @ 2.83% 1-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.98% Total : 18.83%