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Championship header 2

League One

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League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
MK Dons

Sheff Weds
5 - 2
MK Dons

Windass (9'), Smith (54' pen., 74'), Gregory (64'), Byers (89')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Leko (2'), Eisa (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Sheffield Wednesday and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 5-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 8.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 3-0 (10.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawMK Dons
74.3% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)16.8% (0.010999999999999 0.01)8.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 42.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)44.53% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)66.9% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)10.4% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)33.93% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)52.78% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.49% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)86.51% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 74.29%
    MK Dons 8.9%
    Draw 16.8%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawMK Dons
2-0 @ 14.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 6% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.84% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-0 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 74.29%
1-1 @ 7.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.87%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 16.8%
0-1 @ 3.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-2 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 8.9%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs MK Dons

Sheffield Wednesday
88.5%
Draw
3.8%
MK Dons
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
MK Dons
0-1
Sheff Weds
Windass (22' pen.)
Ihiekwe (45+2'), Bannan (67'), Paterson (76'), Dele-Bashiru (80')
Apr 16, 2022 7.45pm
MK Dons
2-3
Sheff Weds
Parrott (40'), Twine (90+6')
Darling (71'), Coventry (83')
Berahino (10'), Gregory (20'), Bannan (30')
Storey (59'), Palmer (90+1'), Johnson (90+7')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Sheff Weds
2-1
MK Dons
Gregory (83'), Windass (90+3')
Palmer (5')
Twine (47')
Baldwin (2'), Kioso (90+1')
Apr 19, 2016 7.45pm
Sheff Weds
0-0
MK Dons

Lees (78'), Hooper (79'), Forestieri (81'), Pudil (87')
Wallace (84')

Maynard (91')
Dec 15, 2015 7.45pm
MK Dons
2-1
Sheff Weds
Baker (25'), Maynard (50')
Hooper (77')
Forestieri (35'), Lopez (43')
> Match Report
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