League One Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vale Park
  • A 22' goal

Port Vale vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
Bolton 2 - 1 Port Vale
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ellis Harrison

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Lincoln 1 - 1 MK Dons
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Mohamed Eisa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result

Port Vale 49.03% (+0.06)
Draw 26.29% (-0.03)
MK Dons 24.68% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.75% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.1% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 55.9% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 22.99% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 77.01% (-0.07)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 77.15% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 22.85% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 43.42% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 56.58% (-0.09)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 61.9% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 38.1% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 25.13% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 74.87% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Port Vale 49.03%
Draw 26.29%
MK Dons 24.68%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 12.85% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.49% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.15% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.67% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.51% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 49.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.71% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.29%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 5.98% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 24.68%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Bradley Johnson 34' goal
  • Bradley Johnson 85' goal
  • Jack Tucker 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ellis Harrison 53'
  • goal Ellis Harrison 90'+3'
FA Cup Gameweek 1
Nov 9, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium mk (Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire)
  • goal David Worrall 20'
  • yellowcard Luke Joyce 71'
League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk (Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire)
  • David Wheeler 52' goal
  • goal Tom Conlon 48'
  • yellowcard Adam Crookes 49'
  • yellowcard Tom Conlon 51'
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 98'
League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Vale Park (Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire)
  • Nathan Smith 45' yellowcard
  • Tom Pope 57' yellowcard
  • Tom Conlon 86' yellowcard
  • goal Chuks Aneke 23'
  • goal Kieran Agard 31'
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbey 87'
League One
Mar 25, 2017 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nathan Smith 42' yellowcard
  • Kiko 45' yellowcard
  • Andre Bikey 84' yellowcard
  • Ryan Taylor 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Williams 20'
  • yellowcard George Baldock 35'
League One
Oct 9, 2016 2.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joe Walsh 17' yellowcard
  • Edward Upson 22' yellowcard
  • Dean Lewington 33' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Jones 33'
  • yellowcard Kjell Knops 58'
  • yellowcard Jak Alnwick 60'
  • yellowcard Sam Foley 66'
  • yellowcard Kiko 95'