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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Port Vale |
57.94% ( 0.06) | 23.34% ( -0.03) | 18.73% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.61% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.19% ( 0.07) | 50.81% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.3% ( 0.07) | 72.7% ( -0.06) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.72% ( 0.05) | 17.28% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.38% ( 0.08) | 47.62% ( -0.08) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.76% ( 0.01) | 41.24% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.23% ( 0.01) | 77.77% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 12.51% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 57.93% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 18.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |