League One Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Victor Adeboyejo 18' goal
  • Josh Sheehan 26' goal
  • goal Ellis Harrison 8'

Bolton Wanderers vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
Wycombe 1 - 0 Bolton
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Dion Charles

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Morecambe 1 - 0 Port Vale
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ellis Harrison

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 57.94% (+0.06)
Draw 23.34% (-0.03)
Port Vale 18.73% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.61% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.19% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 50.81% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 27.3% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 72.7% (-0.07)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 82.72% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 17.28% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 52.38% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 47.62% (-0.08)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 58.76% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 41.24% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 22.23% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 77.77% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 57.93%
Draw 23.34%
Port Vale 18.73%
Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 12.51% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 9.73% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.43% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.69% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.5% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 57.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.31% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 23.34%
Port Vale
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 18.73%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • William Forrester 45'+2' yellowcard
  • C 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricardo Santos 10'
  • redcard Ricardo Santos 37'
  • yellowcard Jordan Williams 49'
EFL Trophy
Aug 31, 2021 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Eoin Doyle 28' goal
  • Nathan Delfouneso 54' goal
  • Nathan Delfouneso 67' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Santos 75' yellowcard
  • Oladapo Afolayan 77' goal
  • Alex Baptiste 81' yellowcard
  • Harry Brockbank 90' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Conlon 35'
  • goal David Amoo 43'
League Two Gameweek 36
Mar 13, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Zak Mills 70' yellowcard
  • Leon Legge 79' yellowcard
  • goal Gethin Jones 63'
  • yellowcard Matt Gilks 89'
League Two Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2020 3.00pm
3
6
HT : 1 3
FT Macron Stadium
  • Gethin Jones 11' goal
  • Eoin Doyle 66' goal
  • goal Manny Oyeleke 6'
  • goal Leon Legge 9'
  • goal Tom Conlon 42'
  • goal Cristian Montano 46'
  • goal Devante Rodney 46'
  • goal David Worrall 50'
  • yellowcard Tom Conlon 52'
  • goal Nathan Smith 62'
League One
Apr 22, 2017 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rigino Cicilia 25' yellowcard
  • Rigino Cicilia 33' redcard
  • Andre Bikey 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gary Madine 46'
  • yellowcard Jay Spearing 50'
  • goal David Wheater 66'
  • goal Gary Madine 90'
League One
Oct 29, 2016 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Zach Clough 7' goal
  • Josh Vela 11' goal
  • Lawrie Wilson 16' goal
  • Josh Vela 19' yellowcard
  • Sammy Ameobi 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Taylor 18'
  • yellowcard Rigino Cicilia 31'
  • goal Sam Hart 75'