League One

League One | Gameweek 34

Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
2 - 1
Port Vale

Adeboyejo (18'), Sheehan (26')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Harrison (8')

Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Port Vale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Bolton
Wednesday, February 22 at 8pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Port Vale
57.94% ( 0.06)	23.34% ( -0.03)	18.73% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 48.61% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.19% (

0.07)

50.81% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.3% (

0.07)

72.7% (

-0.06)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.72% (

0.05)

17.28% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.38% (

0.08)

47.62% (

-0.08)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.76% (

0.01)

41.24% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.23% (

0.01)

77.77% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 57.93%

Port Vale 18.73%

Draw 23.34%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 12.51% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 57.93%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.34%	0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 18.73%