EFL Trophy | Semi-Finals

Feb 22, 2023 at 8pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
0 - 2
Bolton

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kachunga (82'), Morley (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Trophy clash between Accrington Stanley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Accrington 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Wycombe 1-0 Bolton
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
19.2% ( 0.02)	22.25% ( 0)	58.55% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.77% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.34% (

0.03)

45.66% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.02% (

0.03)

67.98% (

-0.03)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.28% (

0.04)

37.72% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.51% (

0.04)

74.49% (

-0.04)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.73% (

0.01)

15.27% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.04% (

0.01)

43.97% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 19.2%

Bolton Wanderers 58.55%

Draw 22.25%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 5.62% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.74% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 19.2%	1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.25%	0-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.21% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.99% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.92% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.13% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.47% Total : 58.55%