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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
31.48% ( 0.3) | 28.02% ( 0.18) | 40.51% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 47.04% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.14% ( -0.57) | 58.87% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.64% ( -0.45) | 79.37% ( 0.45) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.77% ( -0.08) | 34.23% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.07% ( -0.09) | 70.93% ( 0.1) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.52% ( -0.54) | 28.48% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.75% ( -0.69) | 64.25% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.48% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.72% Total : 40.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |