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League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Accrington
1 - 0
Shrewsbury

Presley (12')
Longelo-Mbule (67'), Sangare (77'), Fernandes (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Winchester (16'), Saydee (50'), Phillips (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-2 Shrewsbury Town

This fixture is set to be a war of attrition due to the aggressive nature of both sides, but we believe that Shrewsbury will slightly edge this match, as they pose a major threat from set pieces. We think that Accrington will still cause Shrewsbury some defensive issues, but will be unable to continue their six-match unbeaten streak against the away side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawShrewsbury Town
31.48% (0.295 0.3) 28.02% (0.184 0.18) 40.51% (-0.475 -0.48)
Both teams to score 47.04% (-0.418 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.14% (-0.57400000000001 -0.57)58.87% (0.58 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.64% (-0.447 -0.45)79.37% (0.452 0.45)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)34.23% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)70.93% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (-0.54000000000001 -0.54)28.48% (0.544 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (-0.685 -0.69)64.25% (0.69 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 31.48%
    Shrewsbury Town 40.5%
    Draw 28.01%
Accrington StanleyDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.6% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 31.48%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.75% (0.211 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 12.24% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.69% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 40.5%

How you voted: Accrington vs Shrewsbury

Accrington Stanley
41.7%
Draw
0.0%
Shrewsbury Town
58.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Accrington
1-0
Shrewsbury
Mumbongo (15')
Morgan (65')

Vela (25'), Pennington (44'), Cosgrove (45+2'), Nurse (62')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Accrington
1-1
Shrewsbury
Conneely (47')
Conneely (43'), Barclay (45+1'), Morgan (80')
Whalley (77')
Main (56')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Shrewsbury
2-2
Accrington
Pierre (26'), Whalley (86')
Norburn (33'), Williams (38'), Walker (41'), Vela (57')
Pritchard (24'), Cassidy (90+4' pen.)
Hughes (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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