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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 31.48% ( | 28.02% ( | 40.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.14% ( | 58.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.64% ( | 79.37% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.77% ( | 34.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.07% ( | 70.93% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% ( | 28.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.75% ( | 64.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 3-0 @ 2% ( 3-2 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.48% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 2-2 @ 4.42% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 12.24% ( 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0-2 @ 7.69% ( 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0-3 @ 3.22% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.72% Total : 40.5% |