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Championship header 2

League One

Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 11
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
MK Dons

Lincoln
1 - 1
MK Dons

Mandroiu (5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maghoma (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawMK Dons
48.38% (-0.412 -0.41)26.34% (0.050999999999998 0.05)25.29% (0.364 0.36)
Both teams to score 48.15% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.34% (0.073 0.07)55.67% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.19% (0.059000000000001 0.06)76.82% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (-0.155 -0.16)23.05% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.14% (-0.229 -0.23)56.87% (0.234 0.23)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.57% (0.363 0.36)37.44% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78% (0.352 0.35)74.23% (-0.348 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 48.37%
    MK Dons 25.29%
    Draw 26.34%
Lincoln CityDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 9.29% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 48.37%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.48% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 2% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 25.29%

How you voted: Lincoln vs MK Dons

Lincoln City
61.3%
Draw
32.3%
MK Dons
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
MK Dons
0-0
Lincoln

McEachran (75')

O'Connor (90+4')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
MK Dons
2-1
Lincoln
Darling (39'), O'Hora (47')
Coventry (69'), Harvie (79')
Marquis (8')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Lincoln
2-3
MK Dons
O'Hora (4' og.), Maguire (8' pen.)
McGrandles (43'), Bridcutt (60'), Eyoma (81'), Maguire (90+2')
Twine (60', 90'), O'Riley (75')
Twine (43'), Darling (79')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Lincoln
4-0
MK Dons
Johnson (48', 53', 59' pen.), Fisher (73' og.)
Poole (14'), Johnson (20')

Laird (39'), Kasumu (66'), Darling (72'), Harvie (87'), Lewington (90+5')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
MK Dons
1-2
Lincoln
Mason (58')
Harvie (25'), Houghton (45+3'), Cargill (64'), Brittain (69'), Kasumu (73')
Grant (11' pen.), Hopper (78')
Jones (54'), Morton (69'), Eyoma (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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