League One

League One | Gameweek 39

Apr 13, 2021 at 7pm UK

Sincil Bank Stadium

Lincoln
4 - 0
MK Dons

Johnson (48', 53', 59' pen.), Fisher (73' og.)
Poole (14'), Johnson (20')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Laird (39'), Kasumu (66'), Darling (72'), Harvie (87'), Lewington (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	MK Dons
37.11%	25.87%	37.01%

Both teams to score 54.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.39%

49.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.37%

71.63%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.97%

26.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.94%

61.06%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.92%

26.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.87%

61.13%

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 37.11%

MK Dons 37.01%

Draw 25.86%

Lincoln City	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 9.14% 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 6.15% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.42% Total : 37.11%	1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.79% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.86%	0-1 @ 9.12% 1-2 @ 8.25% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 3.7% 0-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.01%