League One

League One | Gameweek 32

Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 1
Lincoln

Hourihane (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Shodipo (43')

Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Lincoln City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wycombe 3-2 Derby
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 12.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Lincoln City
68.03% ( 0)	19.56% ( -0)	12.4% ( -0)

Both teams to score 45.81% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.16% (

-0)

46.83% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.91% (

-0.01)

69.09% (

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.26% (

-0)

12.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61% (

-0)

38.99%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.5% (

-0.01)

47.5% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.13% (

-0.01)

82.86% (

Score Analysis

Derby County 68.02%

Lincoln City 12.4%

Draw 19.56%

Derby County	Draw	Lincoln City
2-0 @ 12.84% 1-0 @ 12.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 8.82% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.54% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.87% 5-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.87% Total : 68.02%	1-1 @ 9.28% 0-0 @ 6.05% 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 19.56%	0-1 @ 4.51% 1-2 @ 3.46% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.77% Total : 12.4%