League One

League One | Gameweek 31

Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Adams Park

Wycombe
3 - 2
Derby

Vokes (11'), Wing (77', 86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Collins (66'), Dobbin (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wycombe Wanderers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wycombe Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Port Vale 0-3 Wycombe
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 1-0 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Wycombe Wanderers	Draw	Derby County
25.75% ( -0.12)	26.12% ( -0.01)	48.12% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 49.17% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.46% (

-0.04)

54.53% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.11% (

-0.03)

75.88% (

0.03)

Wycombe Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.59% (

-0.12)

36.41% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.8% (

-0.12)

73.2% (

0.12)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.32% (

0.04)

22.68% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.67% (

0.06)

56.32% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Wycombe Wanderers 25.75%

Derby County 48.12%

Draw 26.11%

Wycombe Wanderers	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 25.75%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.11%	0-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.12%