League One Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Adams Park
  • Sam Vokes 11' goal
  • Lewis Wing 77' goal
  • Lewis Wing 86' goal
  • goal James Collins 66'
  • goal Lewis Dobbin 89'

Wycombe Wanderers vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wycombe Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
Port Vale 0 - 3 Wycombe
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Anis Mehmeti

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
Derby 5 - 0 Morecambe
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
David McGoldrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 1-0 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result

Wycombe Wanderers 25.75% (-0.12)
Draw 26.12% (-0.02)
Derby County 48.12% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.17% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.46% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 54.53% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 24.11% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 75.88% (+0.03)

Wycombe Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 63.59% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 36.41% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 26.8% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 73.2% (+0.12)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 77.32% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 22.68% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 43.67% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 56.32% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Wycombe Wanderers 25.75%
Draw 26.11%
Derby County 48.12%
Wycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.25% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.21% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 25.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.26% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.11%
Derby County
0-1 @ 12.25% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 9.18% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.09% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.54% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.5% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.69% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.67% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 48.12%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 10
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Conor Hourihane 72' goal
  • Conor Hourihane 86' goal
  • goal Anis Mehmeti 15'
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Adams Park
  • Ryan Allsop 16' yellowcard
  • Uche Ikpeazu 48' goal
  • Anthony Stewart 53' yellowcard
  • goal Uche Ikpeazu 16' (OG)
  • yellowcard Teden Mengi 63'
  • yellowcard Andre Wisdom 69'
  • goal Andre Wisdom 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 28, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Duane Holmes 36' goal
  • yellowcard Scott Kashket 31'
  • goal Matt Bloomfield 81'