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Jarrod Bowen
10'
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Michail Antonio
50'
Derby County vs West Ham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Derby County Goals
West Ham United Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 6% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 36.21%
0-0 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
1-2 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 37.84%
Henri Lansbury
24'