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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Oxford United

Morecambe
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Hunter (87')
Major (4'), Simeu (67'), Crowley (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Browne (41')
Browne (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-4 Charlton
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Derby
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Oxford United

Both sides are in poor veins of form, and neither can afford to lose this crucial match, so we think both teams will play it safe. There is not a lot to split both sides, so we can see the spoils being shared in a tightly-contested affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawOxford United
28.59% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 24.59% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 46.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.16% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58% (0.057000000000002 0.06)46.42% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (0.053000000000001 0.05)68.7% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.060999999999993 0.06)29.88% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (0.073 0.07)65.97% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)19.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.96% (0.012 0.01)52.04% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 28.59%
    Oxford United 46.82%
    Draw 24.58%
MorecambeDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 7.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.82% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 28.59%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.04%
0-3 @ 4.17% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 46.82%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Oxford Utd

Morecambe
45.5%
Draw
18.2%
Oxford United
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Morecambe
Joseph (56')
Rodriguez (89'), Brown (90+7')
Weir (48')
Stockton (51'), Fane (70'), Rawson (79'), Connolly (89+1')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Oxford Utd
3-1
Morecambe
Seddon (29'), Sykes (73'), Taylor (87')
Stockton (64')
Andersson (51')
Feb 13, 2016 3pm
Morecambe
2-4
Oxford Utd
Molyneux (23'), Barkhuizen (91')
Ellison (45'), Edwards (90')
Miller (70')
Roofe (9'), Lundstram (71'), Hylton (74'), Bowery (80')
Mullins (37'), MacDonald (45')
Sep 26, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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