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Championship header 2

League One

Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Oxford United

Morecambe
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Hunter (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Browne (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Morecambe 1-4 Charlton
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Derby
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawOxford United
28.59% (0.041999999999998 0.04)24.59% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)46.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.16% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58% (0.057000000000002 0.06)46.42% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (0.053000000000001 0.05)68.7% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.060999999999993 0.06)29.88% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (0.073 0.07)65.97% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)19.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.96% (0.012 0.01)52.04% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 28.59%
    Oxford United 46.82%
    Draw 24.58%
MorecambeDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 7.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.82% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 28.59%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.04%
0-3 @ 4.17% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 46.82%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Oxford Utd

Morecambe
45.5%
Draw
18.2%
Oxford United
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Morecambe
Joseph (56')
Rodriguez (89'), Brown (90+7')
Weir (48')
Stockton (51'), Fane (70'), Rawson (79'), Connolly (89+1')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Morecambe
2-1
Oxford Utd
Wildig (14'), Stockton (25')
McLaughlin (42'), Fane (47')
Taylor (3')
Williams (44')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Oxford Utd
3-1
Morecambe
Seddon (29'), Sykes (73'), Taylor (87')
Stockton (64')
Andersson (51')
Feb 13, 2016 3pm
Morecambe
2-4
Oxford Utd
Molyneux (23'), Barkhuizen (91')
Ellison (45'), Edwards (90')
Miller (70')
Roofe (9'), Lundstram (71'), Hylton (74'), Bowery (80')
Mullins (37'), MacDonald (45')
Sep 26, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
0-0
Morecambe

Taylor (90')

Beeley (66'), Dugdale (77'), McGowan (95')
rhs 2.0


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