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Championship header 2

League One

Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Oxford United

Lincoln
1 - 0
Oxford Utd

Mandroiu (23' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League One clash between Lincoln City and Oxford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 25 at 12.30pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lincoln City in this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawOxford United
37.84% (0.027999999999999 0.03)27.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)34.19% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.77% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.77% (0.054000000000002 0.05)58.23% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.13% (0.041 0.04)78.87% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.28% (0.042000000000002 0.04)29.72% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.22% (0.052999999999997 0.05)65.78% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98% (0.016000000000005 0.02)32.02% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.51% (0.02 0.02)68.49% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 37.84%
    Oxford United 34.18%
    Draw 27.96%
Lincoln CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 37.84%
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.52% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 10.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.18%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Oxford Utd

Lincoln City
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Oxford United
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
Lincoln
Brannagan (69' pen.)
Seddon (36'), Taylor (38')
Hopper (21'), Scully (45+1')
Roughan (81'), Sorensen (88'), Eyoma (90+2')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Lincoln
2-0
Oxford Utd
Scully (40'), Whittaker (56')

Taylor (90')
Kane (77')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Oxford Utd
3-1
Lincoln
Henry (12', 24', 73' pen.)
Scully (87' pen.)
Bridcutt (64')
Mar 26, 2021 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
2-1
Lincoln
Forde (29'), Taylor (57')
Stevens (43'), Hanson (45+4')
Scully (4')
Edun (56')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Lincoln
2-0
Oxford Utd
Scully (7'), Jackson (74')

Clare (71'), Atkinson (77')
Atkinson (90+5')
rhs 2.0


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