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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 19.37% ( | 22.33% ( | 58.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.24% ( | 45.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.92% ( | 68.08% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.41% ( | 37.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.63% ( | 74.37% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.61% ( | 15.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.81% ( | 44.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 5.66% ( 2-1 @ 5.18% ( 2-0 @ 2.77% ( 3-1 @ 1.69% ( 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 3-0 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.58% Total : 19.37% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.33% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0-2 @ 10.13% ( 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0-3 @ 6.32% ( 1-3 @ 6.18% ( 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0-4 @ 2.96% ( 1-4 @ 2.89% ( 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0-5 @ 1.11% ( 1-5 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 58.29% |