Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.