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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 57.22% ( | 23.37% ( | 19.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.99% ( | 50.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.01% ( | 71.98% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.75% ( | 17.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.44% ( | 47.56% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.99% ( | 40% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.34% ( | 76.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% ( 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 3-0 @ 6.24% ( 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 4-0 @ 2.74% ( 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.72% Total : 57.21% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 2-2 @ 4.47% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.32% 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0-2 @ 2.9% ( 1-3 @ 1.55% ( 2-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 19.41% |