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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Barnsley

Cheltenham
0 - 4
Barnsley

FT(HT: 0-3)
Norwood (7'), Kane (14'), Phillips (36'), Williams (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-3 Barnsley

Although Cheltenham claimed their first league win of 2023 last weekend, they are unbeaten in four home matches in the third tier, and we think that they will be unable to trouble a Barnsley side who have won four of their last five games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawBarnsley
27.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 25.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 46.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)52.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)74% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21%33.78% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.44% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)22.4% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.09% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)55.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 27.49%
    Barnsley 46.67%
    Draw 25.83%
Cheltenham TownDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 27.49%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 11.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 8.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 46.67%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Barnsley

Cheltenham Town
22.2%
Draw
5.6%
Barnsley
72.2%
18
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Barnsley
1-0
Cheltenham
Thomas (66')

Long (9'), Sercombe (16'), Bonds (44'), Adshead (69')
Jul 19, 2016 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Cheltenham
1-3
Barnsley
Holman (83')
Winnall (35', 45'), Tuton (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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