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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Barnsley

Cheltenham
0 - 4
Barnsley

FT(HT: 0-3)
Norwood (7'), Kane (14'), Phillips (36'), Williams (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawBarnsley
27.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)46.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)52.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)74% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21%33.78% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.44% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)22.4% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.09% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)55.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 27.49%
    Barnsley 46.67%
    Draw 25.83%
Cheltenham TownDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 27.49%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 11.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 8.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 46.67%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Barnsley

Cheltenham Town
22.2%
Draw
5.6%
Barnsley
72.2%
18
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Barnsley
1-0
Cheltenham
Thomas (66')

Long (9'), Sercombe (16'), Bonds (44'), Adshead (69')
Jul 19, 2016 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Cheltenham
1-3
Barnsley
Holman (83')
Winnall (35', 45'), Tuton (87')
rhs 2.0


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