League One Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • goal James Norwood 7'
  • goal Herbie Kane 14'
  • goal Adam Phillips 36'
  • goal Jordan Williams 73'

Cheltenham Town vs Barnsley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Cambridge 1 - 2 Cheltenham
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Alfie May

Barnsley

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Port Vale 1 - 3 Barnsley
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Devante Cole

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result

Cheltenham Town 27.49% (+0.01)
Draw 25.84% (+0.01)
Barnsley 46.67% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.38% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.69% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 52.31% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 25.99% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 74% (+0.02)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 66.21%
Under 0.5 33.78% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 29.55% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 70.44% (-0.01)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5 77.6% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.4% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 44.09% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 55.91% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Cheltenham Town 27.49%
Draw 25.83%
Barnsley 46.67%
Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 8.21% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.67% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.46% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.41% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 27.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.57% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.83%
Barnsley
0-1 @ 11.32% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.47% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.22% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 46.67%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 2
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Luke Thomas 66' goal
  • yellowcard Sean Long 9'
  • yellowcard Liam Sercombe 16'
  • yellowcard Elliott Bonds 44'
  • yellowcard Daniel Adshead 69'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 19, 2016 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Dan Holman 83' goal
  • goal Sam Winnall 35'
  • goal Sam Winnall 45'
  • goal Shaun Tuton 87'