EFL Trophy | Semi-Finals

Feb 21, 2023 at 8pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
1 - 1
Cheltenham

Hardie (63')

FT
(aet)

May (49')

Plymouth win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Plymouth Argyle and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Plymouth 0-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-4 Barnsley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 60.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.99%).

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Cheltenham Town
60.77% ( 2)	21.17% ( -0.51)	18.06% ( -1.49)

Both teams to score 54.29% (

-1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.38% (

-0.02)

42.62% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.97% (

-0.02)

65.02% (

0.02)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.43% (

0.61)

13.57% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.33% (

1.2)

40.67% (

-1.2)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.81% (

-1.61)

37.19% (

1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.03% (

-1.63)

73.97% (

1.63)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 60.76%

Cheltenham Town 18.06%

Draw 21.17%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.14) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.11% Total : 60.76%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.17%	0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.42% Total : 18.06%