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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
MK Dons

Accrington
0 - 1
MK Dons


Nottingham (39'), Tharme (45+1'), Leigh (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kaikai (8')
Lewington (47'), Watson (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-0 MK Dons

MK Dons and Accrington Stanley are very evenly-matched, and so it is very difficult to pick a winner in Saturday's game. As such, we expect a very cagey match, akin to the encounter earlier this season, with the most likely result being a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMK Dons
36.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.5% (0.0020000000000024 0) 36.83% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.71% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)52.28% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.02% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)73.98% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)27.54% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)63.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (0.0039999999999907 0)27.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.07% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)62.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 36.67%
    MK Dons 36.83%
    Draw 26.49%
Accrington StanleyDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.67%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.77% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 36.83%

How you voted: Accrington vs MK Dons

Accrington Stanley
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
MK Dons
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Accrington
Robson (30')
Johnson (61'), Lawrence (70')
McConville (78' pen.)
Astley (10'), Clark (43'), Hamilton (60'), McConville (68')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
2-0
Accrington
Eisa (45'), O'Riley (85')
Darling (69'), Lewington (73'), Harvie (81'), Boateng (87')

Butcher (54'), Pell (60')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
3-2
Accrington
Jerome (6', 55'), O'Riley (90+2')
Charles (57'), Surman (62' og.)
Smyth (45'), Burgess (47'), Barclay (49'), Rodgers (67'), Morgan (80')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Accrington
2-1
MK Dons
Charles (8', 62')
Pritchard (43')
Morris (53')
Gladwin (20'), Kasumu (27'), Sorinola (49'), Harvie (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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