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Championship header 2

League One

Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
MK Dons

Accrington
0 - 1
MK Dons

FT(HT: 0-1)
Kaikai (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Portsmouth
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMK Dons
36.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)26.5% (0.0020000000000024 0)36.83% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.71% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)52.28% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.02% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)73.98% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)27.54% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)63.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (0.0039999999999907 0)27.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.07% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)62.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 36.67%
    MK Dons 36.83%
    Draw 26.49%
Accrington StanleyDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.67%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.77% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 36.83%

How you voted: Accrington vs MK Dons

Accrington Stanley
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
MK Dons
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Accrington
Robson (30')
Johnson (61'), Lawrence (70')
McConville (78' pen.)
Astley (10'), Clark (43'), Hamilton (60'), McConville (68')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Accrington
1-1
MK Dons
Bishop (9')
Hamilton (90')
Coyle (34')
Eisa (25')
Lewington (77')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
2-0
Accrington
Eisa (45'), O'Riley (85')
Darling (69'), Lewington (73'), Harvie (81'), Boateng (87')

Butcher (54'), Pell (60')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
3-2
Accrington
Jerome (6', 55'), O'Riley (90+2')
Charles (57'), Surman (62' og.)
Smyth (45'), Burgess (47'), Barclay (49'), Rodgers (67'), Morgan (80')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Accrington
2-1
MK Dons
Charles (8', 62')
Pritchard (43')
Morris (53')
Gladwin (20'), Kasumu (27'), Sorinola (49'), Harvie (81')