League One

League One | Gameweek 21

Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
1 - 3
Portsmouth

Adedoyin (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pigott (13'), Hackett-Fairchild (57'), Bishop (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Portsmouth
23.92% ( 0.55)	25.17% ( 0.3)	50.91% ( -0.84)

Both teams to score 50.24% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.73% (

-0.67)

52.27% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.03% (

-0.58)

73.96% (

0.58)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.22% (

0.13)

36.78% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.43% (

0.13)

73.57% (

-0.13)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.46% (

-0.61)

20.53% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.96% (

-0.98)

53.04% (

0.98)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 23.92%

Portsmouth 50.91%

Draw 25.16%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.78% Total : 23.92%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 5% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 50.91%