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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Accrington
2 - 1
Forest Green

Presley (44'), Longelo-Mbule (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Forest Green Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawForest Green Rovers
35.33% (0.053999999999995 0.05)26.68% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)37.99% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)53.09% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.32% (0.004999999999999 0)74.67% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (0.034999999999997 0.03)28.73% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (0.044999999999995 0.04)64.56% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)27.16% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)62.56% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 35.33%
    Forest Green Rovers 37.98%
    Draw 26.67%
Accrington StanleyDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.07% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 35.33%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 7.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 37.98%

Head to Head
Sep 6, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 17, 2018 3pm
Sep 30, 2017 3pm