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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 71.09%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 10.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.78%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 71.09% | 18.02% | 10.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.02% ( | 43.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.63% ( | 66.36% ( |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.92% | 11.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.55% ( | 35.45% ( |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.64% | 48.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.51% ( | 83.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 2-0 @ 12.96% 1-0 @ 11.78% 3-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-1 @ 6.91% 4-0 @ 5.23% 4-1 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 2.51% 5-0 @ 2.3% 5-1 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.61% Total : 71.08% | 1-1 @ 8.56% 0-0 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 3.42% Other @ 0.67% Total : 18.02% | 0-1 @ 3.89% 1-2 @ 3.11% ( 0-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.47% Total : 10.89% |