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League One | Gameweek 29
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Ipswich
3 - 0
Accrington

Broadhead (12'), Jackson (56'), Edwards (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 77.9%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 7.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.09%) and 1-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawAccrington Stanley
77.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)14.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)7.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 44.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.72% (0.016999999999996 0.02)38.28% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.44% (0.019999999999996 0.02)60.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)8% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.79% (0.016000000000005 0.02)28.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.35% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.22% (0.0040000000000013 0)85.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 77.88%
    Accrington Stanley 7.61%
    Draw 14.5%
Ipswich TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-0 @ 13.18%
3-0 @ 11.09%
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 7.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 7.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 4.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 3.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.34% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 77.88%
1-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 2.88%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 14.5%
0-1 @ 2.73% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-2 @ 2.28%
0-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 7.61%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Accrington

Ipswich Town
89.5%
Draw
5.3%
Accrington Stanley
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Accrington
0-2
Ipswich

Leigh (56'), Tharme (79'), Hamilton (85')
Chaplin (76'), Burns (87')
Woolfenden (14'), Davis (20'), Burns (73')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Ipswich
2-1
Accrington
Burns (23'), Chaplin (65')
Carroll (52'), Edmundson (87'), Celina (89')
Hamilton (15')
Nottingham (8'), Pell (58'), Longelo-Mbule (83')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Accrington
2-1
Ipswich
Bishop (50'), Pell (79')
Hamilton (81'), Conneely (90')
Bonne (38')
Norwood (90')
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Accrington
1-2
Ipswich
Charles (4')
Burgess (45+6'), Charles (48'), McConville (67')
Conneely (16')
Wilson (41'), Norwood (45+6')
Wilson (79')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0


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