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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 77.9%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 7.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.09%) and 1-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 77.9% ( | 14.5% ( | 7.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.72% ( | 38.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.44% ( | 60.57% ( |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92% ( | 8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.79% ( | 28.21% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.35% ( | 51.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.22% ( | 85.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 2-0 @ 13.18% 3-0 @ 11.09% 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 4-0 @ 7.01% ( 4-1 @ 4.63% ( 5-0 @ 3.54% ( 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 5-1 @ 2.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 6-0 @ 1.49% ( 6-1 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 77.88% | 1-1 @ 6.9% ( 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 2-2 @ 2.88% Other @ 0.59% Total : 14.5% | 0-1 @ 2.73% ( 1-2 @ 2.28% 0-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.7% Total : 7.61% |