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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 46.25% ( | 25.83% ( | 27.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.97% ( | 52.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.24% ( | 73.76% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( | 22.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.98% ( | 56.02% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.7% ( | 33.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.08% ( | 69.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% ( 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 46.25% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0-2 @ 4.52% ( 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.92% |