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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 8
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Portsmouth

Barnsley
3 - 1
Portsmouth

Norwood (17'), Cadden (20'), Cole (60')
Kitching (37')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bishop (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Barnsley and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Barnsley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 1-1 Portsmouth

Both teams have proven to be tough to beat in recent times, and with three of the last four competitive meetings between the two sides finishing all square, we think that Barnsley and Portsmouth will play out another draw on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawPortsmouth
46.25% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08) 25.83% (0.029 0.03) 27.92% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.71% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.97% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)52.03% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)73.76% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)22.47% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.11 -0.11)56.02% (0.11000000000001 0.11)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)33.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)69.92% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 46.25%
    Portsmouth 27.92%
    Draw 25.83%
BarnsleyDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 11.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 46.25%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.52% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 27.92%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Portsmouth

Barnsley
65.1%
Draw
23.3%
Portsmouth
11.6%
43
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Fourth Round
Portsmouth
4-2
Barnsley
Close (37'), Marquis (45'), Curtis (62'), Burgess (76')
Woodrow (60'), Chaplin (91')
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Barnsley
1-1
Portsmouth
Woodrow (61')
McGeehan (17'), Woodrow (41')
Evans (43')
Naylor (20'), Curtis (69'), Brown (90')
Feb 18, 2012 3pm
Barnsley
2-0
Portsmouth
O'Brien (76'), Done (90')
McEveley (43')

Kitson (26'), Mokoena (54'), Ben Haim (62')
Kitson (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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