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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 8
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Portsmouth

Barnsley
3 - 1
Portsmouth

Norwood (17'), Cadden (20'), Cole (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bishop (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Barnsley and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Barnsley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawPortsmouth
46.25% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)25.83% (0.029 0.03)27.92% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.71% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.97% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)52.03% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)73.76% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)22.47% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.11 -0.11)56.02% (0.11000000000001 0.11)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)33.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)69.92% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 46.25%
    Portsmouth 27.92%
    Draw 25.83%
BarnsleyDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 11.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 46.25%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.52% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 27.92%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Portsmouth

Barnsley
65.1%
Draw
23.3%
Portsmouth
11.6%
43
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Fourth Round
Portsmouth
4-2
Barnsley
Close (37'), Marquis (45'), Curtis (62'), Burgess (76')
Woodrow (60'), Chaplin (91')
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Barnsley
1-1
Portsmouth
Woodrow (61')
McGeehan (17'), Woodrow (41')
Evans (43')
Naylor (20'), Curtis (69'), Brown (90')
Feb 18, 2012 3pm
Barnsley
2-0
Portsmouth
O'Brien (76'), Done (90')
McEveley (43')

Kitson (26'), Mokoena (54'), Ben Haim (62')
Kitson (42')