AFC Wimbledon
Barnsley
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bradford City
Burton Albion
Cardiff City logo
Doncaster Rovers
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Luton Town
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One

Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Derby logo

Barnsley
4 - 1
Derby

Cole (21', 45+2'), Phillips (33'), Thomas (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-1)
McGoldrick (35')
Coverage of the League One clash between Barnsley and Derby County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-4 Barnsley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 2-0 Charlton
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
36.76% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)27.59% (0.0019999999999989 0)35.65% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.05% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.7% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.34% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)29.62% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.66% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.012999999999991 0.01)30.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (0.016000000000005 0.02)66.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 36.75%
    Derby County 35.64%
    Draw 27.59%
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 36.75%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 10.71%
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 35.64%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Derby

Barnsley
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Derby County
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Derby
3-0
Barnsley
Collins (45+1' pen.), Barkhuizen (60'), Knight (79')
Bird (49'), Sibley (69')

Connell (27'), Kitching (68')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Derby
2-1
Barnsley
McCarthy (8' og.), Mendez-Laing (35')
Cashin (47')
Benson (64')
McCarthy (62')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Derby
2-0
Barnsley
Morrison (22', 47')

Wolfe (7'), Morris (90+4')
Nov 3, 2021 7.45pm
Barnsley
2-1
Derby
Adeboyejo (39'), Leya Iseka (50')
Woodrow (26'), Brittain (64'), Andersen (81')
Baldock (24')
Morrison (15'), Buchanan (50')
Mar 10, 2021 7pm
Barnsley
0-0
Derby

Woodrow (9'), Dike (87')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!