League One Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Devante Cole 21' goal
  • Adam Phillips 33' goal
  • Devante Cole 45'+2' goal
  • Luke Thomas 90'+4' goal
  • goal David McGoldrick 35'

Barnsley vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
Cheltenham 0 - 4 Barnsley
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Devante Cole

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
Derby 2 - 0 Charlton
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
David McGoldrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result

Barnsley 36.76% (-0.03)
Draw 27.59% (+0.01)
Derby County 35.65% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.05% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.3% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 56.7% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 22.34% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 77.66% (+0.01)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5 70.38% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 29.62% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 34.34% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 65.66% (+0.03)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 69.69% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.31% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.51% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.49% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Barnsley 36.75%
Draw 27.59%
Derby County 35.64%
Barnsley
1-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 36.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.04% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.98% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.59%
Derby County
0-1 @ 10.71%
1-2 @ 7.78% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.4% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.1% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 35.64%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • James Collins 45'+1' goal
  • Tom Barkhuizen 60' goal
  • Jason Knight 79' goal
League One Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Conor McCarthy 8' goal
  • Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 35' goal
  • Eiran Cashin 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor McCarthy 62'
  • goal Josh Benson 64'
Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ravel Morrison 22' goal
  • Ravel Morrison 47' goal
  • yellowcard Matty Wolfe 7'
  • yellowcard Carlton Morris 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 16
Nov 3, 2021 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Cauley Woodrow 26' yellowcard
  • Victor Adeboyejo 39' goal
  • Aaron Leya Iseka 50' goal
  • Callum Brittain 64' yellowcard
  • Mads Andersen 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ravel Morrison 15'
  • goal Sam Baldock 24'
  • yellowcard Lee Buchanan 50'
Championship Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2021 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Cauley Woodrow 9' yellowcard
  • Daryl Dike 87' yellowcard
Championship Gameweek 11
Nov 7, 2020 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Nathan Byrne 45' yellowcard
  • Kamil Jozwiak 53' yellowcard
  • Louie Sibley 90' yellowcard
  • goal Conor Chaplin 30'
  • yellowcard Mads Andersen 59'
  • yellowcard Michael Sollbauer 61'
  • goal Victor Adeboyejo 83'