Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 71.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 11.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.