League One Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • David McGoldrick 9' goal
  • Eiran Cashin 69' goal

Derby County vs Charlton Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Derby 1 - 1 Lincoln
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
David McGoldrick

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Forest Green 0 - 1 Charlton
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Jesuran Rak-Sakyi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 71.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 11.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result

Derby County 71.57% (-0.02)
Draw 17.28% (+0.01)
Charlton Athletic 11.15% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.43% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.17% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 39.83% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 37.81% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 62.19% (+0.02)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 90.15% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 9.84% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 67.34% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 32.66% (+0.02)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 54.82%
Under 0.5 45.17% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 18.93% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 81.07%

Score analysis

Derby County 71.56%
Draw 17.28%
Charlton Athletic 11.15%
Derby County
2-0 @ 11.94%
1-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 9.5% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.24% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.34% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.35% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.25% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.48% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.97% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.58%
Total : 71.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.19% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.45% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 17.28%
Charlton Athletic
0-1 @ 3.53% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.25% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 11.15%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 2
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Valley
  • Corey Taylor 62' goal
  • Steven Sessegnon 73' yellowcard
  • Albie Morgan 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 51'
Championship Gameweek 25
Dec 30, 2019 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jason Knight 10' goal
  • Krystian Bielik 17' redcard
  • Jason Knight 77' goal
  • Duane Holmes 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Naby Sarr 39'
  • yellowcard Conor Gallagher 69'
  • yellowcard Chris Solly 80'
  • yellowcard Darren Pratley 81'
  • goal Lyle Taylor 83'
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 90'
Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2019 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Macauley Bonne 6' goal
  • Naby Sarr 48' goal
  • Jake Forster-Caskey 65' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 67' goal
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 57'
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 64'
Championship
Apr 16, 2016 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Morgan Fox 91' yellowcard
  • goal Johnny Russell 60'
  • yellowcard Jacob Butterfield 66'
  • yellowcard Richard Keogh 81'
  • yellowcard Cyrus Christie 91'
Championship
Aug 15, 2015 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chris Martin 68' goal
  • goal Tony Watt 48'
  • yellowcard Patrick Bauer 77'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Kashi 85'
Championship
Feb 24, 2015 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jeff Hendrick 9' goal
  • Jesse Lingard 17' goal