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Championship header 2

League One

MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Cambridge United

MK Dons
1 - 0
Cambridge

Eisa (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCambridge United
52.05% (0.041999999999994 0.04)25.22% (-0.023 -0.02)22.72% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.75% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.44% (0.064 0.06)53.55% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.93% (0.053999999999998 0.05)75.06% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (0.043000000000006 0.04)20.58% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.89% (0.069000000000003 0.07)53.11% (-0.073 -0.07)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.38% (0.014000000000003 0.01)38.62% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)75.36% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 52.05%
    Cambridge United 22.72%
    Draw 25.22%
MK DonsDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 12.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 52.05%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 22.72%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Cambridge

MK Dons
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Cambridge United
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Cambridge
1-0
MK Dons
Knibbs (17')
Knibbs (9'), Jones (59')

Lawrence (41'), O'Hora (57'), Oyegoke (89')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Cambridge
0-1
MK Dons

Digby (22')
O'Hora (60')
Kasumu (11'), O'Hora (51'), Coventry (88')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Cambridge
Twine (13', 36'), Watters (25', 76')
Kasumu (60')
Smith (82')
Okedina (42'), Williams (50')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
MK Dons
6-0
Cambridge
Healey (5', 63'), Agard (7', 76' pen.), Aneke (12'), Sow (85')
Baudry (68')

O'Neil (62'), Halliday (86')
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
Cambridge
0-1
MK Dons

Azeez (35'), Deegan (79')
Aneke (29')
Aneke (24')