Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.