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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Cambridge United

Exeter
2 - 0
Cambridge

Collins (18'), McDonald (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Cambridge United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Exeter
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
53.91% (-0.103 -0.1)25.35% (0.045999999999999 0.05)20.74% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 45.93% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.01% (-0.11 -0.11)55.99% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.92% (-0.09 -0.09)77.08% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)20.79% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55% (-0.136 -0.14)53.45% (0.137 0.14)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.98% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)42.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.55% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)78.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 53.9%
    Cambridge United 20.74%
    Draw 25.34%
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 13.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.64% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 53.9%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.74% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 20.74%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
Smith (60'), Digby (88')
Digby (29'), Dunk (44'), Lankester (90+6')
Brown (39')
Sweeney (45+1'), Coley (86')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
May (23'), Knibbs (88')
Okedina (9')
Nombe (10' pen.)
Caprice (60'), Ray (82'), Dawson (88'), Collins (90+8')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
1-4
Exeter
Ironside (55')
Iredale (12'), Ironside (41'), Knoyle (50'), Digby (90')
Bowman (3'), Sparkes (15'), Collins (67'), Jay (80')
Bowman (50')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Exeter
2-0
Cambridge
Jay (16' pen.), Randall (34')
Parkes (58'), Taylor (77'), McArdle (90+2')

Digby (41'), Dunk (79')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0


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