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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Exeter City |
| 37.38% | 26.88% | 35.74% |
| Both teams to score 51.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.11% | 53.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.65% | 75.35% |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% | 27.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% | 28.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.26% | 64.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambridge United | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.85% Total : 37.38% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.05% 2-2 @ 5.07% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 6.21% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.73% |