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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 46.39% | 26.71% | 26.9% |
| Both teams to score 48.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.91% | 77.09% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% | 24.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.58% | 58.42% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.76% | 36.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.97% | 73.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 8.84% 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.54% Total : 46.39% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 8.87% 1-2 @ 6.4% 0-2 @ 4.5% 1-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.9% |