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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Portsmouth |
31.1% ( -0.04) | 26.61% ( 0.01) | 42.29% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.06% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.31% ( -0.06) | 53.69% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.82% ( -0.05) | 75.18% ( 0.05) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.18% ( -0.06) | 31.81% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.75% ( -0.07) | 68.25% ( 0.07) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.89% ( -0.01) | 25.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.18% ( -0.02) | 59.81% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.1% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 42.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |