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Championship header 2

League One

MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Portsmouth

MK Dons
1 - 1
Portsmouth

Eisa (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ogilvie (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between MK Dons and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: Wycombe 2-2 MK Dons
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Forest Green
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawPortsmouth
31.1% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)26.61% (0.012 0.01)42.29% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.06% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.31% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)53.69% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)75.18% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)31.81% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.75% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)68.25% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)25.11% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)59.81% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 31.1%
    Portsmouth 42.29%
    Draw 26.6%
MK DonsDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 31.1%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.74%
0-2 @ 7.63% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 3.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 42.29%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
0-2
MK Dons
Johnson (34'), Tucker (64')
Jules (28')
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Portsmouth
3-2
MK Dons
Hackett-Fairchild (22'), Bishop (35' pen., 48' pen.)
Burns (19'), Eisa (61')
McEachran (38')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
1-2
MK Dons
Hirst (60')
Hirst (32'), Marquis (90+7')
Eisa (20'), Corbeanu (45')
Robson (52'), Harvie (90+8')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
1-0
Portsmouth
Robson (72')
Parrott (56'), Fisher (79')

Williams (90+2')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
MK Dons
1-0
Portsmouth
Fraser (41' pen.)
Lewington (31'), Jules (69')

Daniels (19'), Byers (90+4')
Whatmough (81')
rhs 2.0


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