League One

League One | Gameweek 38

Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
2 - 2
Port Vale

Bishop (67' pen.), Jacobs (70')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Taylor (8'), Ojo (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Port Vale
46.64%	24.96%	28.39%

Both teams to score 54.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.82%

48.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.67%

70.33%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.3%

20.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.7%

53.3%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.07%

30.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.78%

67.22%

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 46.64%

Port Vale 28.39%

Draw 24.96%

Portsmouth	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 7.94% 3-1 @ 4.89% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.64%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.51% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.39%