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League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Port Vale

Fleetwood
1 - 1
Port Vale

Marriott (83')
Nsiala (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taylor (57')
Robinson (69'), Taylor (69'), Pett (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-0 Port Vale

Both sides have struggled for form lately, so we think this will be a closely-fought contest. However, Port Vale have lost their last three matches on their travels, so we think Fleetwood will have enough quality to edge this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawPort Vale
33.29% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03) 26.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 39.78% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.79% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (0.049999999999997 0.05)54.36% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)75.74% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (0.0049999999999955 0)30.66% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (0.0049999999999955 0)66.9% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (0.045000000000002 0.05)26.75% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.97% (0.061 0.06)62.02% (-0.061 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 33.29%
    Port Vale 39.78%
    Draw 26.92%
Fleetwood TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 33.29%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 10.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 39.78%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Port Vale

Fleetwood Town
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Port Vale
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Port Vale
2-1
Fleetwood
Smith (30'), Hall (32')
McDermott (43'), Ojo (45+1'), Smith (70')
Batty (6')
Wiredu (52')
Sep 15, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Fleetwood
2-1
Port Vale
Madden (14'), Morris (75')
Madden (32'), Whelan (90+2')
Whitehead (49')
Hurst (45+1'), Montano (64'), Brisley (70'), Mills (78')
Apr 30, 2017 12pm
Fleetwood
0-0
Port Vale

McLaughlin (6'), Bell (45')

Reeves (36'), Turner (45'), Purkiss (75')
Nov 12, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
2-1
Fleetwood
Cicilia (75'), Jones (86')
Alnwick (53'), Grant (56')
Grant (89')
Long (52')
Ekpolo (36')
Long (90')
Feb 13, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
0-0
Fleetwood

Purkiss (45'), Foley (72')

Nilsson (9'), Cole (38'), Jonsson (65'), Nirennolf (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth452713576413594
2Derby CountyDerby452781076373989
3Bolton WanderersBolton452511983483586
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough452581286582883
5Barnsley4521121281631875
6Lincoln CityLincoln4520141165382774
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4521111377552274
8Blackpool4521101463451873
9Stevenage4518141355451068
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe451614155955462
11Leyton Orient451711175054-462
12Exeter CityExeter451710184559-1461
13Wigan AthleticWigan451910166156559
14Northampton TownNorthampton45178205665-959
15Bristol Rovers45169205266-1457
16Charlton AthleticCharlton451120146464053
17Reading451511196568-350
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury45139233464-3048
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge451211223961-2247
20Burton Albion451210233964-2546
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham45128254063-2344
RFleetwood TownFleetwood45913234672-2640
RPort Vale451010254174-3340
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4579294179-3830


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