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League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Port Vale

Fleetwood
1 - 1
Port Vale

Marriott (83')
Nsiala (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taylor (57')
Robinson (69'), Taylor (69'), Pett (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-0 Port Vale

Both sides have struggled for form lately, so we think this will be a closely-fought contest. However, Port Vale have lost their last three matches on their travels, so we think Fleetwood will have enough quality to edge this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawPort Vale
33.29% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03) 26.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 39.78% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.79% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (0.049999999999997 0.05)54.36% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)75.74% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (0.0049999999999955 0)30.66% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (0.0049999999999955 0)66.9% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (0.045000000000002 0.05)26.75% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.97% (0.061 0.06)62.02% (-0.061 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 33.29%
    Port Vale 39.78%
    Draw 26.92%
Fleetwood TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 33.29%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 10.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 39.78%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Port Vale

Fleetwood Town
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Port Vale
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Port Vale
2-1
Fleetwood
Smith (30'), Hall (32')
McDermott (43'), Ojo (45+1'), Smith (70')
Batty (6')
Wiredu (52')
Sep 15, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Fleetwood
2-1
Port Vale
Madden (14'), Morris (75')
Madden (32'), Whelan (90+2')
Whitehead (49')
Hurst (45+1'), Montano (64'), Brisley (70'), Mills (78')
Apr 30, 2017 12pm
Fleetwood
0-0
Port Vale

McLaughlin (6'), Bell (45')

Reeves (36'), Turner (45'), Purkiss (75')
Nov 12, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
2-1
Fleetwood
Cicilia (75'), Jones (86')
Alnwick (53'), Grant (56')
Grant (89')
Long (52')
Ekpolo (36')
Long (90')
Feb 13, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
0-0
Fleetwood

Purkiss (45'), Foley (72')

Nilsson (9'), Cole (38'), Jonsson (65'), Nirennolf (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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