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Championship header 2

League One

Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Port Vale

Fleetwood
1 - 1
Port Vale

Marriott (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taylor (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawPort Vale
33.29% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)26.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)39.78% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.79% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (0.049999999999997 0.05)54.36% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)75.74% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (0.0049999999999955 0)30.66% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (0.0049999999999955 0)66.9% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (0.045000000000002 0.05)26.75% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.97% (0.061 0.06)62.02% (-0.061 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 33.29%
    Port Vale 39.78%
    Draw 26.92%
Fleetwood TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 33.29%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 10.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 39.78%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Port Vale

Fleetwood Town
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Port Vale
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Port Vale
2-1
Fleetwood
Smith (30'), Hall (32')
McDermott (43'), Ojo (45+1'), Smith (70')
Batty (6')
Wiredu (52')
Sep 15, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Fleetwood
2-1
Port Vale
Madden (14'), Morris (75')
Madden (32'), Whelan (90+2')
Whitehead (49')
Hurst (45+1'), Montano (64'), Brisley (70'), Mills (78')
Apr 30, 2017 12pm
Fleetwood
0-0
Port Vale

McLaughlin (6'), Bell (45')

Reeves (36'), Turner (45'), Purkiss (75')
Nov 12, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
2-1
Fleetwood
Cicilia (75'), Jones (86')
Alnwick (53'), Grant (56')
Grant (89')
Long (52')
Ekpolo (36')
Long (90')
Feb 13, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
0-0
Fleetwood

Purkiss (45'), Foley (72')

Nilsson (9'), Cole (38'), Jonsson (65'), Nirennolf (78')