Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
53.69% ( 0.17) | 25.32% ( -0.05) | 21% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 46.36% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.4% ( 0.08) | 55.6% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.24% ( 0.06) | 76.76% ( -0.06) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.27% ( 0.1) | 20.73% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.66% ( 0.16) | 53.34% ( -0.15) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.48% ( -0.07) | 41.52% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.98% ( -0.06) | 78.02% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 13.54% 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 53.68% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.16% Total : 21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 45 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 76 | 41 | 35 | 94 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 45 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 37 | 39 | 89 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 45 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 83 | 48 | 35 | 86 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 45 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 86 | 58 | 28 | 83 |
5 | Barnsley | 45 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 81 | 63 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 45 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 74 |
7 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 77 | 55 | 22 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 68 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 62 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 45 | 17 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 61 |
13 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 45 | 19 | 10 | 16 | 61 | 56 | 5 | 59 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 45 | 17 | 8 | 20 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 59 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 45 | 11 | 20 | 14 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 50 |
18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 48 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 47 |
20 | Burton Albion | 45 | 12 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 46 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 45 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 45 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 46 | 72 | -26 | 40 |
R | Port Vale | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 40 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |