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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 40.73% ( | 27.52% ( | 31.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.01% ( | 56.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.11% ( | 77.89% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( | 27.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% ( | 62.96% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.95% ( | 33.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.36% ( | 69.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% ( 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 4-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.73% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.76% |