League One | Gameweek 11
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby2 - 0Cheltenham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barnsley 4-1 Derby
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 4-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
We said: Derby County 3-1 Cheltenham Town
Derby will be keen to bounce back from Saturday's disappointing result, and having won eight of their last 10 home league games, we think that they will claim all three points against a Cheltenham side that are bereft of confidence. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 74.89%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 8.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.71%) and 3-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
74.89% ( 0) | 16.62% | 8.49% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 41.18% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
