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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 29.69% ( | 25.73% ( | 44.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.28% ( | 50.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.38% ( | 72.62% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.71% ( | 31.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.35% ( | 67.65% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% ( | 22.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.65% ( | 56.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 3-0 @ 1.86% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 29.69% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0-2 @ 7.81% ( 1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0-3 @ 3.86% ( 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 2-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.57% |