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Championship header 2

League One

Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Burton Albion

Bristol Rovers
1 - 2
Burton Albion

Marquis (9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kirk (44'), Winnall (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Ipswich
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Burton Albion
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawBurton Albion
46.65% (0.013000000000005 0.01)24.68% (0.0020000000000024 0)28.67% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.92% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)46.76% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.98% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)69.02% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.88%20.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.63%52.38%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)30% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)66.11% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 46.65%
    Burton Albion 28.68%
    Draw 24.67%
Bristol RoversDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 9.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 46.65%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.67%
0-1 @ 7.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 28.68%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Burton Albion

Bristol Rovers
54.5%
Draw
27.3%
Burton Albion
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Burton Albion
0-4
Bristol Rovers

Smith (14'), Butcher (64')
Shaughnessy (1')
Evans (4'), Connolly (12'), Collins (40', 44')
Whelan (72')
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Burton Albion
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Smith (55')
Clare (43'), Carter (90+2'), Hemmings (90+6')

McCormick (11')
McCormick (52')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Burton Albion
Daly (52')
Ehmer (72')
Hemmings (79')
O'Toole (18'), Quinn (33'), Fox (35')
Apr 13, 2020 3pm
Bristol Rovers
P-P
Burton Albion
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Burton Albion
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Akins (87'), Edwards (95')
Edwards (33')

Craig (10'), Clarke (60'), Davies (81')
rhs 2.0


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