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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 36.98% ( | 25.59% ( | 37.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.65% ( | 48.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.51% ( | 70.49% ( |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( | 25.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.63% ( | 60.36% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( | 25.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.97% ( | 60.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.98% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.43% |