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Championship header 2

League One

Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Burton Albion

Port Vale
2 - 3
Burton Albion

Harrison (2'), Proctor (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Taylor (8', 67'), Smith (48' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-5 Peterborough
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawBurton Albion
50.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.5% (0.0040000000000013 0)24.26% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)53.25% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)74.81% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)21.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.89% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)54.11% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.01% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2% (0.0010000000000012 0)73.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 50.23%
    Burton Albion 24.26%
    Draw 25.49%
Port ValeDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 12.17%
2-0 @ 9.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 50.23%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 24.26%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Burton Albion

Port Vale
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Burton Albion
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Burton Albion
0-2
Port Vale
Garrity (49'), Harrison (90+1')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Burton Albion
1-2
Port Vale
Leak (23')
Shaughnessy (88')
Politic (79', 82')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
1-2
Burton Albion
Cullen (53')
Gibbons (43'), Bennett (83'), Amoo (92')
Boyce (9'), Fraser (62')
Akins (79'), Daniel (91')
Oct 9, 2018 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-0
Burton Albion
Miller (65')
Clark (63'), Miller (87')

McCrory (48')
Mar 19, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
0-4
Burton Albion

Duffy (45')
Akins (34'), Grant (45' og.), Duffy (50'), Butcher (60')