League One

League One | Gameweek 39

Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
1 - 0
Forest Green

Dale (51')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and Forest Green Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Port Vale
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Sheff Weds
Sunday, March 26 at 1pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 16.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
62.5% ( 0.03)	21.13% ( -0.01)	16.37% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 50.91% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.63% (

0.03)

45.37% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.29% (

0.02)

67.71% (

-0.03)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.07% (

0.02)

13.93% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.62% (

0.04)

41.38% (

-0.04)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.15% (

-0.01)

40.85% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.58% (

-0.01)

77.42% (

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 62.49%

Forest Green Rovers 16.37%

Draw 21.13%

Portsmouth	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 62.49%	1-1 @ 10.04% 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.13%	0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.37%