League One

League One | Gameweek 37

Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
2 - 0
Forest Green

Bolton (7'), Mumba (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Forest Green 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
70.59% ( 0.02)	17.3% ( -0.01)	12.11% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.73% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.77% (

0.02)

37.22% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.57% (

0.03)

59.43% (

-0.03)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.6% (

0.01)

9.4% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.38% (

0.03)

31.62% (

-0.03)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.19% (

41.8% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.73% (

78.27% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 70.59%

Forest Green Rovers 12.11%

Draw 17.3%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
2-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.55% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.47% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.42% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 70.59%	1-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.3%	1-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 1.41% Total : 12.11%