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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 49.89% ( | 23.92% ( | 26.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.81% ( | 45.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.46% ( | 67.54% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.82% ( | 18.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.82% ( | 49.18% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% ( | 31.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.64% ( | 67.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 4-2 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 3.51% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.18% |