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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
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Callum Wright
59'
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Ryan Hardie
70'
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Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
17'
Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Derby County Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 9.14% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 44.94%
0-0 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.46%
1-2 @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 29.6%
