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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 71.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 9.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.19%) and 3-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 71.46% ( | 19.08% ( | 9.46% |
| Both teams to score 37.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.73% ( | 52.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.04% ( | 73.96% ( |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.62% | 13.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.71% ( | 40.28% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.53% ( | 56.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.26% ( | 88.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 2-0 @ 15.28% 1-0 @ 15.19% 3-0 @ 10.24% ( 2-1 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 5.86% 4-0 @ 5.16% 4-1 @ 2.95% 5-0 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 5-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.11% Total : 71.45% | 1-1 @ 8.68% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 2.5% ( Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.08% | 0-1 @ 4.32% 1-2 @ 2.48% 0-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.43% Total : 9.46% |