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League One | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Derby
2 - 2
Shrewsbury

Roberts (20'), McGoldrick (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bayliss (49'), Leahy (72' pen.)
Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Shrewsbury Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 2-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-0 Wycombe
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 71.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 9.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.19%) and 3-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawShrewsbury Town
71.46% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.08% (0.00099999999999767 0)9.46%
Both teams to score 37.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.26% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)73.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.62%13.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.71% (0.0019999999999953 0)40.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)56.47% (-0.002999999999993 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)88.74% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 71.45%
    Shrewsbury Town 9.46%
    Draw 19.08%
Derby CountyDrawShrewsbury Town
2-0 @ 15.28%
1-0 @ 15.19%
3-0 @ 10.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.73%
3-1 @ 5.86%
4-0 @ 5.16%
4-1 @ 2.95%
5-0 @ 2.07%
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 71.45%
1-1 @ 8.68%
0-0 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 2.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 19.08%
0-1 @ 4.32%
1-2 @ 2.48%
0-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 9.46%

How you voted: Derby vs Shrewsbury

Derby County
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Shrewsbury Town
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Shrewsbury
0-0
Derby

Bayliss (75'), Flanagan (77'), Nurse (88')

Knight (90+2')