League One Gameweek 35
Derby
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Shrewsbury
  • Haydon Roberts 20' goal
  • David McGoldrick 45'+1' goal
  • goal Tom Bayliss 49'
  • goal Luke Leahy 72'

Derby County vs Shrewsbury Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Derby 2 - 0 Cheltenham
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
David McGoldrick

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 2 - 0 Wycombe
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Luke Leahy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 71.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 9.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.19%) and 3-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result

Derby County 71.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 19.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Shrewsbury Town 9.46%

Both Teams to Score: 

37.71% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 52.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 26.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 73.96% ▼ (-0.01)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 86.62%
Under 0.5 13.38%
Over 1.5 59.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 40.28% ▼ (-0.01)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5 43.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 56.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 11.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 88.74% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Derby County 71.45%
Draw 19.08%
Shrewsbury Town 9.46%
Derby County
2-0 @ 15.28%
1-0 @ 15.19%
3-0 @ 10.24% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.73%
3-1 @ 5.86%
4-0 @ 5.16%
4-1 @ 2.95%
5-0 @ 2.07%
3-2 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 71.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.68%
0-0 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 19.08%
Shrewsbury Town
0-1 @ 4.32%
1-2 @ 2.48%
0-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 9.46%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 4
Shrewsbury
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
Derby
  • Tom Bayliss 75' yellowcard
  • Tom Flanagan 77' yellowcard
  • George Nurse 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jason Knight 90'+2'

Form Data

Derby 2 - 0 Cheltenham
Barnsley 4 - 1 Derby
Derby 2 - 0 Charlton
Derby 1 - 1 Lincoln
Wycombe 3 - 2 Derby
Derby 5 - 0 Morecambe
Shrewsbury 2 - 0 Wycombe
Accrington 1 - 0 Shrewsbury
Exeter 0 - 0 Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury 3 - 2 Port Vale
Oxford Utd 0 - 1 Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury 2 - 1 Forest Green